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Risk Disclosure

 
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Kinetic Natural Gas Performance

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE

(Links to detailed performance reports are below.)

 

 

Kinetic Natural Gas

Kinetic Natural Gas was assembled for a specific objective.  That objective was to provide subscribers a vehicle to in effect trade a ‘half size’ of the full size natural gas contract.  This is needed because the full size contract is larger, and the e-mini is smaller, than meets the objectives of some subscribers.  Whereas the e-mini typically nets 15%-20% of full size contract gains, Kinetic ‘Half Size’ nets almost 50% of the full size contract.  And whereas the e-mini drawdown is typically a disproportionate (as relates to e-mini net gains) 30% of full size drawdown, Kinetic ‘Half Size’ drawdown is a proportionate slightly more than 50% of full size drawdown.  During low and moderate volatility, the amount that Kinetic ‘Half Size’ differs from 50% of full size net gain and/or drawdown should be less than $100 for the entire month, assuming the system is traded correctly.  If volatility is sustained high for the entire month, this monthly difference could go to around $300.

 

The performance reports accessible below are hypothetical performance.  If you wish more up-to-date performance information than the Trade Station performance reports on this website, speak with a broker.  We, Advanced Systems, do not provide individualized performance information.

 

 

Hypothetical Performance by Version

 

Kinetic Natural Gas Full-size Contracts:

There are three versions of Kinetic Natural Gas.  Links to the Trade Station reports

are below).  $75 is allocated for round-turn commission and slippage, and $40k for initial capital.  Subscription fees are not reflected.  Results reflect single contract trading, no pyramiding or reinvestment of gains.  Do not be misled by the Trade Station reports showing hardly any losing months and those being very small.  There were multiple 10k+ drawdowns, they just occurred intra month and were recovered by month end.  They could just as easily have occurred (and could occur in the future) at month end and show a loss for the month(s).

 

     Trade Station Reports:     Vers. “K1”       Vers. “K2”       Vers. “K3”  



Kinetic Natural Gas “Half Size” Contracts
:

The reports show full size performance, and you will have to divide by two and subtract a little overhead to get approximate ‘half size’ performance.  What is a ‘little’ overhead?  Probably a little less than $100 per month in typical times, but could go to a few hundred in wild times.  $75 is allocated for round-turn commission and slippage, and $40k for initial capital.  Subscription fees are not reflected.  Results reflect single contract trading, no pyramiding or reinvestment of gains.      

 

     Trade Station Reports:     Vers. “K1”       Vers. “K2”       Vers. “K3”  

 

   

Regarding Full-size and “Half Size” Contracts:

Any size contract can on any trade, for various reasons, trade differently from another size contract.  So in any given month the ratio of performance between versions may not be the same as the long term ratio.

 

 

 

                    Hypothetical Performance Disclosure

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All performance data in this website is hypothetical performance.  Although you

have already seen the CFTC hypothetical performance disclosure at the entrance

to this website, the CFTC prefers that it be shown multiple times at strategic

places in the website, such as on this page.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME

OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY

ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE

SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY

ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

“ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY

ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,

HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL

TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK

IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE

TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL

POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE

ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO

THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE

FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE

RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.”